原文：Wowhead
想要看具体数据和曲线可以去原文查看，这里只提供关键结果
掉率：
如果我们挖掘的数据与橙斧有关，并且它们的工作原理与我们想象的一样，那么这些就是一些最重要的结论：
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随机难度和普通难度的掉率非常非常非常低。
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在你第15次（或以上）击杀英雄难度菲莱克时，你100%会获得橙斧。
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在你第7次（或以上）击杀史诗难度菲莱克时，你100%会获得橙斧。
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次级菲莱拉兹余烬是如何跟强效菲莱拉兹余烬相交互的我们还是不得而知，但它们之间应该是叠加的。
我们目前是团本开放后的第15周。亚服首杀是在第3周诞生的，橙斧掉落是在第4周解锁的，所以目前最高的保底机制应该为11层。
如果你之前每周都击菲莱克，那么这周将是第11行的基础大余烬叠加的掉率（不算次级余烬）。
| 之前击杀菲莱克的次数 | 随机难度 | 普通难度 | 英雄难度 | 史诗难度 | ||||
| 热修后 | 老数据 | 热修后 | 老数据 | 热修后 | 老数据 | 热修后 | 老数据 | |
| 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 5% |
| 1 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 6.6% | ~5.89% |
| 2 | 0% | 0% | ~0.29% | ~0.18% | 2.25% | 1.95% | 8.2% | ~6.78% |
| 3 | ~0.17% | 0.1% | ~0.57% | ~0.36% | 3% | 2.4% | 9.8% | ~7.67% |
| 4 | ~0.33% | 0.2% | ~0.86% | ~0.55% | 3.75% | 2.85% | 11.4% | ~8.56% |
| 5 | ~0.5% | 0.3% | ~1.14% | ~0.73% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 13% | ~9.44% |
| 6 | ~0.67% | 0.4% | ~1.43% | ~0.91% | 5.25% | 3.75% | 100% | ~10.33% |
| 7 | ~0.83% | 0.5% | ~1.71% | ~1.09% | 6% | 4.2% | ~11.22% | |
| 8 | 1% | 0.6% | 2% | ~1.27% | 15% | 4.65% | ~12.11% | |
| 9 | ~1.44% | 0.7% | ~2.88% | ~1.45% | 18% | 5.1% | 13% | |
| 10 | ~1.88% | 0.8% | 3.75% | ~1.64% | 21% | 5.55% | 100% | |
| 11 | ~2.31% | 0.9% | ~4.62% | ~1.82% | 24% | 6% | ||
| 12 | 2.75% | 1% | 5.5% | 2% | 27% | 15% | ||
| 13 | ~3.18% | ~1.32% | ~6.38% | ~2.64% | 30% | ~15.54% | ||
| 14 | ~3.62% | ~1.64% | 7.25% | ~3.29% | 100% | ~16.07% | ||
| 15 | ~4.06% | ~1.96% | ~8.12% | ~3.93% | ~16.61% | |||
| 16 | 4.5% | ~2.29% | 9% | ~4.57% | ~17.14% | |||
| 40 | 15% | 10% | 30% | 20% | 30% | |||
次级菲莱拉兹余烬只在英雄和史诗难度掉落。据玩家群体反馈，史诗难度掉率比英雄难度更高。
| 次级菲莱拉兹余烬数量 | 更高保底掉率？ | |
| 热修后 | 老数据 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| 4 | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| 5 | 3% | 1.5% |
| 6 | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| 7 | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| 8 | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| 9 | 5.4% | 2.7% |
| 10 | 6% | 3% |
| 20 | 12% | 6% |
| 30 | 18% | 9% |
| 40 | 24% | 12% |
| 50 | 30% | 15% |
| 100 | 60% | 30% |
THE END
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